Wednesday, 14 December 2011

Gold plunges to two-month low as stronger USD weighs ..

Gold futures plunged through key support levels on Wednesday, trading at the lowest level since late October as a broadly stronger U.S. dollar and fears that euro zone’s sovereign debt crisis was worsening prompted investors to sell profitable gold holdings to raise liquidity.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for February delivery traded at USD1,613.15 a troy ounce during early U.S. morning trade, plunging 3%.    

It earlier fell by as much as 3.25% to trade at USD1,609.55 a troy ounce, the lowest price since October 21.

Gold futures were likely to find short-term support at USD1,604.85 a troy ounce, the low of October 20 and resistance at USD1,681.55, Tuesday’s high.

Gold’s losses came as the U.S. dollar rallied to an 11-month high against the euro, while the dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, was up 0.35% to trade at 81.25, the highest since January 11.

A stronger dollar saps demand for commodities as an alternative investment and makes metals priced in the currency more expensive in terms of other monies.

Concerns over the fiscal health of Italy intensified after the country’s Treasury auctioned the full targeted amount of EUR3 billion of five-year government bonds at an average yield of 6.47%, up from 6.29% at a similar auction last month.

Following the auction, the yield on Italian 10-year bonds rose above the critical 7% threshold, re-approaching the euro-era highs hit last month.

Market sentiment has been hard hit in recent days by the view that last week's European Union summit did not result in concrete plans to tackle the debt crisis in the region.

Gold futures have fallen sharply in the past three sessions, losing nearly 7%, as investors sold the precious metal to raise cash and cover losses in other asset classes. Despite the slump, gold prices are still 15% higher on the year, on track for its 11th consecutive annual gain.

European lender HSBC Holdings said earlier that, “Some macro hedge funds are liquidating gold holdings and taking profits in a difficult year. As trading volume typically drops toward year-end, we expect increasingly volatile price swings."

Elsewhere on the Comex, silver for March delivery plummeted 6.9% to trade at a ten-week low of USD29.08 a troy ounce, while copper for March delivery tumbled 3.4% to trade at USD3.325 a pound.

.. Natural gas trades at 27-month low on weather outlook

Natural gas futures fell sharply on Wednesday, trading at the lowest level since September 2009 as ongoing concerns over warm winter temperatures and worries about growing U.S. inventory levels continued to dampen sentiment on the heating fuel.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for January delivery traded at USD3.193 per million British thermal units during U.S. morning trade, plunging 2.6%.

It earlier fell by as much as 2.75% to trade at USD3.182 per million British thermal units, the lowest since September 11, 2009.

The January natural gas contract has lost nearly 11% since the beginning of December, as forecasts for warmer-than-normal winter weather was likely to limit heating demand.

The Commodity Weather Group said earlier that temperatures across the U.S. East Coast states will be at least five degrees above-average from December 19 to December 23.

“Widespread warming is expected to dominate the 1-10 day range yet again with only some minor fluctuations possible,” the weather group said in a report.

According to the U.S. National Weather Service, the daily average temperature in New York for December was 4.3 degrees above normal through December 13.

Natural gas prices have closely tracked weather forecasts in recent weeks. Above-normal winter temperatures reduce the need for gas-fired electricity to heat homes, dampening demand for natural gas.

Meanwhile, markets were looking forward to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report on U.S. natural gas stockpiles for the week ended December 9 on Thursday.

Early injection estimates range from a decline of 60 billion cubic feet to 92 billion cubic feet. The five-year average stockpile change for the week is a drop of 142 billion cubic feet, according to U.S. Energy Department data.

Gas futures typically climb during the winter months, as temperatures fall and demand for heating fueled by natural gas rises. But mild weather coupled with high production levels have kept prices depressed in recent weeks.

Global financial service provider Barclays said in a report Tuesday that, “In the near term, there appears to be no bottom for the front contract price as it continues to fall on weak seasonal heating demand."

Elsewhere on the NYMEX, light sweet crude oil futures for delivery in January plummeted 3.05% to trade at USD97.08 a barrel, while heating oil for January delivery tumbled 1.6% to trade at USD2.882 per gallon.

EUR/USD plumbs 11-month low on downgrade fears ..

The euro slumped to an 11-month low against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, as speculation over euro zone sovereign ratings downgrades supported demand for the safety of the greenback.

EUR/USD hit 1.2991 during U.S. morning trade, the pair’s lowest since January 12; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.2982, shedding 0.42%.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.2872, the low of January 10 and resistance at 1.3064, the session high.

Sentiment on the euro has weakened in recent days on the view that last week's European Union summit did not result in a decisive plan to resolve the debt crisis in the region.

Concerns over mass ratings cuts across the euro zone persisted despite adequate investor demand at auctions of Italian and German government debt earlier in the day.

Italy’s Treasury sold the full targeted amount of EUR3 billion of five-year government bonds, but saw bond yields rise to a euro-era highs.

Germany auctioned EUR4.18 billion of two-year bonds at record low yields, reassuring investors after an auction of 10-year bonds last month met with extremely weak investor demand.

Meanwhile, demand for the greenback remained supported after the Federal Reserve warned that market turbulence stemming from the crisis in the euro zone posed a threat to the U.S. economy but stopped short of indicating fresh stimulus measures to shore up growth.

The euro was also lower against the pound, with EUR/GBP shedding 0.21% to hit 0.8403.

Also Wednesday, official data showed that industrial production in the euro zone declined unexpectedly in October, falling for the second consecutive month.